balance. In the case of women, life expectancy at birth increases by 0.5 years, while life expectancy in the case of women aged 65 increases by 0.1 per year. The point of departure of the model is that the mortality trend in the Netherlands is expected to converge towards the mortality trend in West-European countries of similar wealth. The present life expectancy at birth of men in the Netherlands is higher than that of men in West Europe. In the case of women, the opposite is true. Women in the Netherlands have lower life expectancy at birth than women in West Europe. The difference in life expectancy between women in the Netherlands and women in West Europe is greater than in the case of men. In addition, the mortality trend in the case of men is more in line with the West-European trend. This all contributes to the fact that women show a relatively strong improvement in life expectancy in comparison to men. The inclusion of the correlation between men and women apparently reinforces this effect. 8.3 Future life expectancy The Projection Table AG2016, as in the case of AG2014, offers the possibility of calculating future life expectancies. Future cohort life expectancies for the start years 2016, 2041 and 2066 are shown in table 4. Start year 2016 2041 2066 At birth Men 90.1 92.5 94.3 Women 93.0 95.1 96.6 Table 4 Future cohort life expectancy It once again appears from the figures stated above that the model implies that life expectancy for men and women will continue to increase, slightly more quickly for men than for women. As a result, the difference in life expectancy between men and women will fall. 8.4 Projection in perspective The developments in period life expectancy at birth for AG2014, AG2016 and CBS20152060 are compared in graph 4. The fact that the AG2016 projection for women in the Netherlands converges towards the projection for women in the selected West-European countries is visible. The AG2016 projection for men shows the same development as AG2014; the trend lies close to the trend in West-European countries, as a result of which the difference over time remains fairly constant. In the case of CBS2015-2060, a limited fall in life expectancy can be observed in the case of men compared to AG2016. Life expectancy in 2050 on the basis of CBS2015-2060 is slightly lower than in the case of AG2016. difference 2.9 2.6 2.3 At the age of 65 Men 20.0 23.2 25.7 Women 23.1 26.2 28.4 difference 3.1 3.0 2.7 Projection Table AG2016 Outcomes 21
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