8.3 Future cohort life expectancy Projections Life Table AG2018 offers the possibility to calculate future life expectancies. Table 4 shows future cohort life expectancies in the years 2019, 2044 and 2069. Year 2019 2044 2069 Males 90.0 92.3 94.0 At birth Females Difference 92.5 94.6 96.1 2.5 2.3 2.1 Males 20.3 23.2 25.6 Table 8.4 Future cohort life expectancies based on AG2018 The numbers stated here again demonstrate that the model implies that life expectancies for men and women will continue to rise, slightly faster for men than for women, thus reducing the gap in life expectancies between the sexes. 8.4 Projections in perspective Graph 8.2 compares the developments in period life expectancy at birth for AG2016, AG2108 and CBS2017-2060. It is apparent that the AG2018 trend forecast for Dutch women converges to the trend forecast for women in selected Western European countries and that the projections have been adjusted downwards from AG2016. The AG2018 forecast for men shows a similar motion versus AG2016; the trend is close to the trend in Western European countries, keeping the difference in life expectancy fairy stable through time. For men, the CBS2017-2060 forecast shows a life expectancy development almost identical to AG2018. The life expectancy in 2050 based on CBS2017-206 is slightly higher than AG2018 for women and slightly lower for men. 90 At age 65 Females Difference 23.1 25.8 28.0 2.8 2.6 2.4 85 Females 80 Males 75 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 Graph 8.2 Development of period life expectancy at birth Graph 8.3 shows the development of period life expectancy at age 65. The Netherlands European selection AG2018 NED AG2018 Europe CBS-2017 AG2016 Projection Table AG2018 Results 24
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